Description

This analysis provides a forecast of RIOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-03 8.433696 9.645440 10.982965 12.571015 14.407964 16.469404 18.962859
2025-08-10 6.667171 8.202160 10.033005 12.385625 15.340082 18.942465 23.690715
2025-08-17 5.616448 7.278797 9.374815 12.226878 16.030230 20.960374 27.888676
2025-08-24 4.859883 6.568523 8.822027 12.035006 16.536362 22.674446 31.774038
2025-08-31 4.265986 5.976149 8.320139 11.799246 16.886202 24.135753 35.399402
2025-09-07 4.005055 5.799327 8.347782 12.274659 18.250569 27.128107 41.548149
2025-09-14 3.696010 5.511529 8.173324 12.414696 19.105719 29.426082 46.881863
2025-09-21 3.391591 5.194159 7.914268 12.383220 19.669684 31.303998 51.733350
2025-09-28 3.104542 4.872116 7.611000 12.239612 20.020515 32.850522 56.182588
2025-10-05 2.972509 4.779143 7.653099 12.648517 21.306638 36.052014 63.832509
2025-10-12 2.834967 4.662374 7.641903 12.959764 22.446790 39.106888 71.571022
2025-10-19 2.735421 4.598033 7.708196 13.403692 23.854278 42.765010 80.855871
2025-10-26 2.510462 4.303735 7.363171 13.097610 23.891936 43.965872 85.645043
2025-11-02 2.328705 4.069261 7.101590 12.915909 24.138239 45.576952 91.444285
2025-11-09 2.167999 3.858288 6.862613 12.750275 24.391511 47.215619 97.487397
2025-11-16 2.018079 3.654321 6.618496 12.549599 24.550387 48.673289 103.315315
2025-11-23 1.876201 3.453753 6.363761 12.303017 24.588026 49.879112 108.732040
2025-11-30 1.840681 3.450458 6.479888 12.800269 26.197980 54.524734 122.462319
2025-12-07 1.764837 3.363257 6.426493 12.946751 27.081408 57.705968 133.226042
2025-12-14 1.674485 3.240519 6.293102 12.913826 27.571702 60.070144 142.347915
2025-12-21 1.578667 3.099666 6.112353 12.763610 27.786082 61.830774 150.215314
2025-12-28 1.548553 3.089512 6.196239 13.191346 29.344702 66.856722 167.016051
2026-01-04 1.509555 3.057913 6.232731 13.516957 30.699711 71.550654 183.624683